Theresa Tam fails basic logic test

Vincent J. Curtis

20 Feb 21

RE: COVID variants could fuel surge if rules eased, modelling eased.  Hamilton Spectator 20 Feb 21

In January, Stanford University Medical Centre released a study by four Ph.D.s and M.D.s that evaluated the effectiveness of lockdown measures used around the world to control the spread of the coronavirus.  The study concluded that lockdowns were ineffective in controlling the spread.  That’s the science.  No study to date has shown that lockdown measures are effective on a large scale, and particularly, which ones.  Comparing Florida with California or New York verifies the truth of the Stanford study’s conclusion.

Modelling of the pandemic has been disastrous from the beginning.  Modelling vastly overestimated the fatality rates of the virus, and those terrifying, but false, forecasts are what led to the policies of shutdowns in the first place.  Canada was supposed to have between 50,000 and 350,000 COVID deaths in a matter of weeks beginning in late March.  That never happened.

Modelling released November 12 predicted 6500 cases per day in Ontario, and was off by a factor of three.  No matter, other modelling justified Ontario’s shutting down temporarily and for one time only on December 26 to January 23.  Then, knock-you-socks-off modelling predicted 20,000 cases per by February 14, to prolong the shutdown and justify a stay-at-home order.  It was off by an order of magnitude.

See a pattern yet?  Ben Rhodes famously called journalists “twenty-seven year old know-nothings” who could be fooled by creating an echo chamber of alleged experts who all said the same thing.

Saint Theresa Tam doesn’t know how much more contagious or how much more deadly the latest strains are.  That’s a fact.  But she’s pushing the panic button.  That’s not based on science.  Lockdowns that don’t work against the old strain will be even less effective against one more contagious.  That’s just basic logic, at which Saint Theresa is a complete failure.

We’re supposed to follow the science, not pied pipers of panic.

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