Vincent J. Curtis
13 Feb 21
RE: Projections suggest for jumping gun. Spectator editorial of today’s date.
The Spectator’s immortal sports columnist Bob Hanley once said of heavyweight boxer Leon Spinks that Spinks had “the attention span of a retarded gnat.” The same problem afflicts the Spectator editors. The editorial today aired favorably all the comments by panicky-pill doctors who don’t quite think it’s a good idea to lift the lockdown – despite all the data. (“We could get a third wave!” they fear.)
The purpose of the lockdowns, the shutdown, the stay at home order, and masking is to protect the health care system from collapse. I typed that slowly for easier comprehension. The lockdown is to protect the health care system from being overwhelmed by cases all at once.
This is a pandemic. People are going to die. People are going to get sick. The area under the curve remains the same regardless of shape. All this is admitted by the so-called “experts.” The shutdown and stay at home orders were implemented because projections – since proven wrong – indicated that 20,000 cases per day would afflict Ontario by February 14, and those numbers would overwhelm the health care system. Nothing like those projections actually happened, and so there is no longer justification for shutdown, lockdown, masking, or any other measure of Stalinism.
By now, intelligent people, and even those with good memories, ought to be suspicious about doctor’s projections. On November 12, Ford’s doctors projected 6500 cases per day by December 15, and were wrong by a factor of three. No matter; Ontario needed to shut down on December 26. On January 12, in the third week of a four week “temporary, one-time only” shutdown, Ford’s doctors projected 20,000 cases per day, and were knock-your-socks-off wrong. Cases fell from 3800 to 1000 per day. Ontario’s health care system never came close to being overwhelmed.
If life comes down to a pattern of working for six weeks and shutting down for two, that’s better than shutting down indefinitely with no hope of relief. Or waiting upon some doctor who works 9 to 5 getting out of the right side of the bed.
Premier Doug Ford is surrounded by more earnest
quacks than a duck pond. It ill behooves
the press to cheerlead for continued Stalinism.
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