Weird Voting in Georgia

Vincent J. Curtis 

4 Jan 21

The media was atwitter with the release of an alleged conversation between President Trump and Georgia Secretary of State, Brad Raffenspeger.  Trump was supposed to have asked the Secretary to “find him some votes,” as if that indicated a demand for corrupt action on the part of the Secretary.  Nobody is asking who recorded the conversation, who leaked it, why they leaked it, or when the conversation occurred.  This means that the answers to those questions tend to undermine the narrative that Trump asked someone to act corruptly on his behalf.

Trump has every right to be concerned about corruption in the Georgia president election of 2020.  For context, here are the results of the last four presidential elections in Georgia:

Georgia                       2008                2012                2016                2020

Republican                  2,048,754        2,070,221        2,089,104        2,461,837

Democrat                    1,844,123        1,761,761        1,877,963        2,474,507

John McCain, Mitt Romney, and Donald Trump all received between 2.05 and 2.09 million votes, gradually rising as the voting population of Georgia slowly rose.  The generic Republican vote for 2020 on the basis of the trend would be around 2.1 million votes.  Trump got 362,000 more votes than that.  He increased his vote by 18 percent over 2016.  This is much more than expected on the basis of trends, and clearly indicates rising popularity in the state.  He campaigned a lot in the state in 2020.

Let’s turn to the generic Democrat vote.  As we’ve seen in other states, Barack Obama, the Democrat nominee in 2008 and 2012 was at his most popular in 2008.  He won 1.84 million votes in 2008, but fell to 1.76 million votes in 2012.  Hillary Clinton carried the Democrat banner in 2016, and did slightly better than Obama did in 2008, gaining 1.88 million votes.  Allowing for gains in population, we can estimate the generic Democrat vote for 2020 as 1.91 million.

Given that Trump increased the Republican vote by nearly 400,000, one would expect that some of those votes came at the expense of the Democrat rival.  But that’s not what happened in 2020.  Joe Biden increased the Democrat vote total over 2016 by 600,000 votes.  He pulled in 2.47 million votes.  That means a million more people voted in Georgia in 2020 than did in 2016.

The weird thing about Biden’s numbers is that most of the increase came from Fulton County.  On election night, early in the morning of November 4^th, Trump had a lead of 200,000 votes, and only a few counties around Atlanta had not reported.  Fox News refused to call the state for Trump.  They must have known something was up, for 200,000 was the standard margin of victory by Republicans since 2008.  By morning, Trump’s enormous lead had disappeared.

It took days, but votes kept being found for Biden, and finally the Democrat overtook Trump ever so slightly.  Nobody could explain how this happened.  There were signs of corruption, and a state legislative committee investigated, finding inexplicable practices video recorded at the counting center.  In Atlanta, people were told to leave and go home for the evening due to a burst pipe.   Counting would stop and resume in the morning.  But video shows that’s not what happened.  Once supervision left, suitcases of ballots were pulled out from hiding places and run through the counting machines, sometimes repeatedly.  But the feckless election officials didn’t step in and cry “foul!”

There is plenty of evidence of fraud on an enormous scale, and the outsized vote totals is the sign of it.  They cry out for an explanation.  Why could Joe Biden, who demonstrated no support at all in the state, generate so much more enthusiasm than Obama in 2008 and Hillary in 2016?  It can’t all be due to Trump’s unpopularity in the reliably Republican state, for he increased his total by 18 percent in 2020 over 2016.

This voting isn’t weird.  It stinks.

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