Vincent J. Curtis
6 Dec 20
Maine was one of those states I thought Trump might flip in the 2020 election. In 2016, he lost to Hillary Clinton. Given that Trump had both benefited the state in his first term and campaigned in it in 2020 while Joe Biden did not, I thought Trump deserved the appreciation of more voters in 2020 than in 2016.
Indeed, that was the case. In 2016, Trump got 335,593 votes in Maine and Hillary Clinton got 357,735 votes, enabling her to carry the state. In 2020, Trump got 360,480 votes, surpassing Hillary’s total of 2016, but Joe Biden got 434,966 votes, roughly 77,000 more that Hillary got in 2016. Trump boosted his tally by 25,000 while Biden increased the Democratic tally by 77,000. That’s 102,000 more votes cast in the state in 2020 than in 2016. I get that Trump would generate more enthusiasm among his base, but how could limpid Joe Biden generate so much more enthusiasm - three times as much - among Democrats?
Maine employed mail-in balloting, an invitation to fraud. We are left with two possibilities: either Trump generated much more active hostility among white New Englanders – three times as much – than he created through his presidency, or there was voter fraud in Maine. Perhaps Joe Biden would have carried the state anyway, since Trump only surpassed Hillary’s 2016 total by 3,000 votes; but Joe Biden’s increase of 77,000 in such a small state seems weird, out of place. The fraudsters may have given the game away by creating too many votes. The total vote in Maine increased by 15 percent, 2020 over 2016, just like in New Hampshire.
While I’m prepared to concede that Biden would have carried the state merely by increasing the Democratic tally by 4,000 votes over 2016, his actual increase of 77,000 is suspicious.
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