Saturday, December 12, 2020

Hoping Einstein was wrong about insanity

Vincent J. Curtis

12 Dec 20

RE: Rein in COVID spread for face Christmas lockdown.  Hamilton Spectator of today's date.  


What more proof do you need to show that the medical authorities don’t know what they’re doing?  In the face of utter failure, the medical “experts” have returned to failed measures in the hope that Einstein was wrong about insanity.  When one is reduced to trial and error, one is supposed to learn from error.  But our experts don’t.

The progressive degrees of lockdown are intended to reduce in-person social interactions.  So, what explains rising prevalence of “cases” after lockdown measures tighten?  It is due either to a widespread breakdown in discipline, that the authorities underestimated the prevalence of the virus, or that the measures are just ineffective.  None of these possibilities reflect well on the authorities.

Discipline was good in March and April, but after ten months of failure and mismanagement people are getting impatient.  The authorities held out as a goal, first, a “flattening of the curve” and then eradication of the virus, an impossible goal.  Both failed.  But wide-spread indiscipline doesn’t explain outbreaks only in Windsor-Essex, Toronto, and Peel.  Or Hamilton.

Underestimation of prevalence is a poor excuse since the data is collected every day, and the lockdown imposed is intended to reduce prevalence, not maintain case level.  That is, lockdown measures imposed are supposed to be stronger than necessary.  And that points to a failure of the measures.  Reducing in-person interaction assumes that the experts know the cause of transmission - in-person interaction!  I submit that in-person interaction isn’t the only way of transmission, and that other ways are powerful enough to sustain the pandemic even with minimal person-to-person transmission pathway.

The point is that the pandemic roller-coaster is bad enough without authorities messing up the economy and society with their half-baked theories of control.

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