Tuesday, August 9, 2016

Why Change in Washington Is Hard


Vincent J. Curtis

9 Aug 2016

Changing Washington is hard.  Even those with the best intentions and a high head of steam seem to fizzle out when they get there.  The well-intentioned may not exactly go- along-to-get-along; they just get stifled.

The TEA party revolution that began with a rant on television by CNBC reporter Rick Santelli promised to reform Washington’s ways.  TEA party supported representatives took over a quarter of the new Republican house majority in 2010, and it was up to House Speaker John Boehner to keep them in line.  These TEA party supported candidates had the mission of stopping Obama.

The 2012 election saw the defeat of Republican presidential candidate Mitt Romney by the tried and true means of character assassination.  Romney was too decent a man to respond in kind.

The 2014 off-year election saw a dramatic increase in Republican House membership and the gaining of control of the US Senate by a new Republican majority.  The mission of this strengthened Republican majority was simple: stop Obama now.

Still, the Obama agenda rolled forward.  True, Obama did not get any new measures through the congress, but the congress failed to so much as halt funding for Planned Parenthood as a sign of their fealty to the electorate that sent them to Washington.  They failed to make full use of the power of the purse to roll back the Obama agenda in the slightest.   Deficits under a Republican controlled House added up to a doubling of the national debt from, $10 trillion to $20 trillion.  Last December, the House, under the new leadership of TEA party favorite Paul Ryan, passed budget legislation that will ensure the deficit rises to over $21 trillion, and Obama will not be troubled with a fiscal crisis again.

Then, Donald Trump comes from out of nowhere to win the Republican nomination for president.  He is not like any of the other Republican reformers of the previous ten years.  He is not culturally a Republican, he is a New Yorker.  He is not an off-the-shelf Republican suit.  He is so rich that he is not dependent upon the usual base of Republican donors; he self-funded his nomination campaign.  He is famous in his own right, and his personality is quite well known to the electorate.  Character assassination would not be as easy to pull off with Trump as it was with Mitt Romney.

What made Trump attractive to the electorate were his style, his energy, and his promise to break every political mould in sight.  He was a candidate of change to be sure.  All other Republican contenders were conventional and pedantic by comparison.  And Trump won the Republican nomination with over 14 million primary votes, more than any previous Republican candidate.

In the course of his nomination, Trump broke a few moulds, not the least of which were decorum and Republican political conventions.  He labelled outrageously his opponents: Lyin’ Ted, Little Marco, Jeb Bush was lacking in energy, in defeating them all.  Trump was decidedly opposed to free trade deals that resulted in the loss of American labor jobs, he promised to build a wall and undertake vigorous measures to fix the illegal immigration and drug crises.  He questioned the decisions concerning war and peace made by previous administrations.

Trump’s measures were outside the domain of establishment Republican thinking, and when Trump won the nomination a large segment of the conservative wing of the Republican Party either left the party or are engaged in simmering or open revolt against the party’s selection of candidate for president.

Affirmations of disloyalty to Trump has become a parlor game among establishment Republicans.  The most recent examples of it are a statement by Senator Susan Collins (R- ME) saying she won't vote for Trump, and of a letter signed by no fewer than 50 people who held posts related to national security in previous Republican administrations.

The dissension in the Republican ranks is intended to defeat the Trump campaign and see to it that Democrat Hillary Clinton is elected president.  Such disloyalty would never be found in the Democrat Party.  Why would Republicans work to defeat their own, and ensure that the likes of Hillary Clinton is elected president?  Why is this change so hard?

The reason is that with Hillary, no moulds will be broken.  The usual, conventional, and comfortable lines of disagreement between the two parties in Washington will be preserved.  The Republicans in Washington can stomach the corruption of a Hillary presidency, while they downright fear the consequences of a Trump presidency.  The fear is genuine, but is it a fear that their world – a world they created and lived in going back forty years – will come crashing down.  Entirely new ways of thinking will have to be adopted.  And Trump is a powerful enough personality to push over the columns of the temple.

And that explains why it is so hard to change things in Washington.  The many are disorganized, and never powerful enough to overcome the entrenched interests in Washington.  The strong are mercilessly attacked from all quarters, by people who spent a lifetime entrenching themselves and which lifetime of work threatens to be undone - party and popular will be damned.

Hillary is the choice of the status quo.  There is no doubt of that.  Trump inspires fear in the preservers of the basic status quo, the basic conventions, of Washington.  So much so, that Hillary is preferred by those who ought to hate what she represents.

If real change is needed in Washington, Trump is your man.  But the electorate is going to have to stay with their man through the fecal-storms ahead.  An electorate determined that Washington be changed are going to have to stay with their man, someone who actually will change things through force of personality alone, and not allow themselves to be distracted by the tricks of the establishment, promulgated by the ultimate Washington interest, the old media.
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