Vincent J. Curtis
24 Dec 21
We all know that climate change causes a loss of critical thinking capacity in many humans, and a good example of this is the commentary over the 2021 British Columbia wildfire season. So many “experts” were certain that the extensive (and extensively covered) B.C. wildfires were due to climate change. The data is now in, can we can examine dispassionately what the facts are.
The total burn acreage in B.C. in 2021 as reported on the government website is 868,205 ha (hectares). The 2010 to 2020 average is 348,149 ha. Gosh, that 2021 number looks really bad. Between 2010 and 2020, the lowest burn acreage occurred in 2011, with 12,604, followed closely by 2020 with 14,526 ha. The highest burn acreage occurred in 2018 with 1,354,284 ha, followed closely by 2017 with 1,216,053. The burn acreage of 2021 is above the decade’s average, but within the expected range, and well below the two highest years.
What these numbers mean is that there is no trend evident in B.C. burn acreage over the period 2010 to 2021. Some years are quite low while others are very high, with 2021 coming in the high middle, with the two prior years being quite low in burn acreage.
The absence of a trend means you can’t claim the data or the event supports a trend, i.e. that of climate worsening.
The media, which loves to keep the public
alarmed over something, be it COVID or climate change, aren’t going to report
the falsification of their summertime thesis.
-30-
Here’s the data:
Year Hectares burned
2021 868,203
2020 14,526
2019 21,138
2018 1,354,284
2017 1,216,053
2016 100,366
2105 280,605
2014 369,168
2013 18,298
2012 102,122
2011 12,604
2010 337,149
Avg 348,917
2009 247,419
2008 13,240
Avg since 2008 314,383
Since 2010: person caused 562 (42 %) lightning caused 790 (58 %)
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