Why a Second Wave?

Vincent J. Curtis

29 Sept 20

The mandating of worthless masks may have given people a false sense of security.  That, and excessive lockdown measures.  Luckily, herd immunity has set in.

The number of new cases of COVID-19 is now higher than it was at the height of the pandemic in mid-April.  How could this be?

The short answer is that all the mitigation measures have ceased to work and, in particular, the masking bylaws gave a false sense of security.

The virus is transmitted in two ways: in a mist and as a dry dust.  Surgical masks and those fashionable cloth masks can prevent us from sneezing and coughing on one another.  But they are useless as dust masks.  Masking is limited in usefulness to the indoors, at best.  People who wear masks outdoors simply don’t understand the science.

Mitigation measures have ceased to work because they were overused.  There is only a one in 2300 chance that the next person you meet in Ontario is an “unresolved case,” assuming each and every such case is on the street and not isolating.  Mitigation measures were so unreasonably extended that they became a case of the boy who cried wolf.

Luckily, Ontario has reached the status of herd immunity.  Despite cases being now higher than in mid-April, sickness as measured by hospitalizations and deaths remain flat at just above zero.  High case numbers has not resulted in a corresponding increase in measured sickness.

Social distancing of one meter or greater and good ventilation are sufficient to keep likelihood of transmission low.  More cases, at this point, only deepens Ontario’s herd immunity.

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