Crying Wolf Again on Arctic sea ice

Vincent J. Curtis

7 June 23

RE: Research advances date for likely summer ice-free Arctic by decade.  CP story by Bob Weber.  The Hamilton Spectator 7 June 23.

The CP faithfully report the latest cries of “wolf” by climate fraudsters on the make for their next research grant.  The question is, why are people still buying this one?

The cry of an ice-free Arctic ocean was made by the father of the modern global warming movement, Dr. James Hansen.  He said in 1988 that the Arctic would be ice free by 2008.  Then, in 2008, Hansen forecasted 2014-2018.  At his 2007 Noble Prize acceptance speech, Al Gore forecasted an ice-free Arctic in 2014.  Later, at the COP 15 conference in 2009, he predicted 2016.  John Kerry, on the floor of the Senate said in 2009, that the Arctic would be ice-free in 2014.  The Guardian newspaper said 2015, and the Sierra Club Canada said 2013.

The prediction has been made many times before by people in high authority, but the ocean remains stubbornly ice-covered, even in summer.  There is no trend, based on actual measurements, for the Arctic to become ice-free in summer, either.  The story isn’t that the Arctic was supposed to be ice-free in the 2070s, or 2050s, and it’s now trending to the 2030s; it’s that the Arctic should be ice-free by now and that hasn’t happened.

All those other experts cried wolf, and there is no reason based on actual data to believe this latest cry of wolf will turn out differently.

But there’s no need to worry about Arctic sea ice in the 2030s. On June 21, 2018, UN Climate Representative Greta Thunberg predicted the world would end within five years, which is right about now.

-30-