Vincent J. Curtis
14 Oct 21
RE: It’s
time to mandate COVID shots for eligible students. Hamilton Spectator editorial of 14 Oct 21.
The practice of medicine is for the good of
the patient. I know this concept of the
individual is hard for progressives and Marxists to get their heads around, but
it is essential to understanding why mass mandates are rarely good.
The editorial mentions the mandate to
vaccinate young children for measles, mumps, chicken pox and rubella, but this
make sense on an individual basis. These
are serious childhood sicknesses, the vaccines against them actually work for
life, and the vaccines have proven to have side effects rarely. This isn’t the case with the COVID vaccines. COVID simply is not a serious illness for
anyone under twenty, the vaccines are only 70 percent effective at best, and
the risks of the COVID vaccines, though small, are not insignificant. The AstraZenica one was pulled from Canada
for its high risk profile, the J & J vaccine seems never to have been
properly made, and the Moderna vaccine has produced a noteworthy number of
adverse reactions.
Mass vaccination of under-twentys is going
to produce more adverse reactions than it will “control the spread,” and there
is no benefit to the individual, for whom COVID is not a high-risk sickness. If the story is that the kids will spread it
among themselves, and then one of them will bring it home to grandma, well,
that’s on grandma. She’s the one who
should have been vaccinated based on risk.
Here is some data. As of this date, Ontario has had a total of
593,000 cases of COVID-19 since January 15, 2020. There have been a total of 9,807 deaths. The under 20 demographic have accounted for a
total of 89,423 cases and 6 deaths. The
20-39 demographic have accounted for 125,456 cases and 99 deaths. In contrast, the over 80 demographic have
accounted for 25,978 cases and 5,912 deaths.
COVID-19 is overwhelmingly a problem for the very old, and becomes much
less of a problem for those under 60.
For the young, COVID is not a problem at all.
Since COVID is not a problem at all for the
young, the vaccine in them can only have drawbacks, and while they are few the
numbers are not insignificant.
Consequently, on a risk-benefit analysis, vaccines should not be
mandated for those under 60, certainly for those under 40, and absolutely not for
those under 20.
I mentioned a 70 percent effectiveness of
the vaccines. As of this date in
Ontario, 32 percent of those hospitalized with COVID, are either fully or
partially vaccinated. Of those in ICU,
19 percent are either fully or partially vaccinated. Vaccination may help reduce the severity of
the infection, comparing hospitalizations to ICU patients, but it is by no
means bullet-proof protection against getting COVID at all. Hence, even if students under the age of 20
were vaccinated, it still would not eliminate the potential for students to
become infected and become carriers, even if the severity of the disease in
them is small. It could introduce a
false sense of security.
We are now also aware of the limited
life-span of the immunity provided by the vaccines. A booster shot is not being administered
after only eight months.
There are no easy answers, but the
proclivity to simply order that this or that be done in haste – stumbling around
in the dark trying hit-or-miss solutions – is bad, and needs to be stopped. I know progressives love exercising
government power, so someone may have to stop them.
In addition, public health officials have to
stop being lazy. Declaring an outbreak
and closing a school because three cases have been detected is lazy, stupid,
and wrong. You can, with testing, figure
out which classes were exposed, and test students individually for the
disease. The aim should be keeping schools
open as much as possible, not the better comfort of the public health professionals.
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