Sunday, May 16, 2021

Lockdowns make things worse - some data.

Vincent J. Curtis

16 May 21

In December, I forecasted that Ford’s “temporary, one time” lockdown measure would actually make things worse.  That’s how things turned out, with daily cases nearly doubling within two weeks of the December 26th order.  This current lockdown also made things worse.

A lockdown is supposed to stop the spread, like quarantining a person does.  The data ought to show a dramatic decline in case numbers within two weeks of a lockdown – if it worked.  I say lockdown measures make things worse.  Here is the official data.

On April 3, there were 23,190 active cases in Ontario, of which 796 were in hospital.  Fourteen days later, April 17, 40,694 active cases, with 2065 in hospital.  The peak in cases occurred April 21, with 42,917, and 2335 hospitalized.  May 1, after four weeks, total cases were 37,438 with 2152 hospitalized; and finally, six weeks on, May 15, 27,566 total active cases, with 1546 hospitalized.  After three successive quarantine periods, the total active cases and number hospitalized were worse than when the lockdown was declared and then followed with a stay-at-home order.

I don’t know how Premier Ford or his medical advisors can offer these numbers and say their lockdown plan worked - at all.  The pandemic ebbed and flowed according to its own nature and nothing shows the intervention of man, except perhaps to make things worse.

When is the media going to get up from the posture of worship, take notice of the data, and ask Ford’s experts for an explanation?

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