Livin’ in a dream world

Vincent J. Curtis

7 May 21

RE: Ontario COVID trend dips lower.  Hamilton Spectator 7 May 21

The report that Ontario’s average daily COVID rate dipped from 4,348 in the middle of April to 3,369 in the first week in May is proof of nothing.  It takes 5.5 days for an infected person to show symptoms, and 14 days for a full recovery, which happens over 99 percent of the time.  There’s a reason quarantine orders are for 14 days.

Ontario’s lockdown and stay-at-home order ought to have wrung a large percentage of the daily case load out of the system within the first 14 days.  If lockdowns and stay-at-home orders controlled the spread.  But they don’t; the science says they don’t, but Ontario is doing it anyway.

To claim that less than 23 percent of the case load has been wrung out the system because of lockdowns is an example of the logical fallacy of post hoc ergo propter hoc.  At this rate it will only take another nine weeks to get below a thousand cases a day, and by then everyone over the age of 12 should be vaccinated.

Too many reputations are on the line for Ontario to change course into something sensible, like what Florida did.  We will look back on this period as an example of the colossal failure of central planning and control.  Instead of giving people the information and letting them act on it, the central planners imposed a mind-numbing ideology on everyone, at get cost.

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