Wednesday, April 8, 2020

Time to End Excessive Mitigation

Vincent J. Curtis

8 Apr 20

There are a whole lot of alleged experts croaking about keeping these extreme quarantine measures in place for months, or even years.  We seem to have forgotten why extreme quarantine was put into place, and that was to prevent overwhelming the health care system.

The health care system lacked the ICU beds and ventilators to accommodate all the cases we were told to expect – back in early March.  We had to flatten the curve because a sharp peak of cases would overwhelm the system.

We are now into the third successive 14-day quarantine period, and the number of cases and number of fatal cases are far below the apocalyptic figures presented at the beginning of the crisis.

Thanks to the wonders of capitalism, we will soon be overwhelmed with medical PPE and ventilators.  The need for mass quarantine will be over by the end of April because the curves are already flattening, and we will have the gear to tackle a re-emergence of the virus in a second wave should it occur.  In addition, the promising drug treatments will be confirmed soon as well.

It is important that we maintain perspective, and not get fearmongered by well-intentioned medical professionals.  They’re hammers, we’re nails, and the only economy they’re responsible for is their own.  Life is never without risks, and an easily treatable flu-like coronavirus will soon be simply another one.

We ought to start refocussing our mitigation efforts on the few who are at serious risk, and leave everyone else free get back to normal lives.  Extending extreme mitigation beyond the end of April ought to be viewed with extreme skepticism.
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