Monday, March 20, 2017

Trump Set Cat Among the Pigeons



Vincent J. Curtis

20 Mar 2017


Several weeks ago, President Donald Trump set the news media all a-twitter by saying that he had been wire-tapped by President Barak Obama during the 2016 presidential campaign.  Immediately, denunciations started pouring in to the effect, “How could Trump say such a thing?” and “There is no evidence of such a thing.”  And so forth.

Today’s public hearings of the House Permanent Select Committee on Intelligence was enlightening on how politicalized selective intelligence leaking has become, and how competitive media narratives are either pushed or forgotten, depending on which Democrat talking point one is speaking about.

Chris Wallace of Fox News was typical when he described today as a bad day for President Trump because no proof of wiretapping by President Obama was admitted to or presented to the committee by FBI Director James Comey or NSA Director Mike Rogers.  In the world of intelligence, the parsing of sentences is extremely important because it is in the nature of the business to mislead.  What appears to be a denial is in fact a non-denial denial, and what appears to be denied but isn’t can be revealing of the actual truth.

The elephant in the room that no one wants to highlight is that the American people are subject to NSA surveillance of their emails and their telephone conversations 24/7/365 without a specific FISA warrant and have been since 2006.  It took Edward Snowden to bring it to light, and forced the admission that DNI James Clapper lied in public to a Senate Committee when he told the committee that the U.S. government does not routinely monitor or collect information on Americans at random in any way.  The NSA, in fact, collects meta-data on all electronic communications that flow through the computers of American telephone companies.  Hence, it is a trivial statement for President Trump say that he was wire-tapped by President Obama during the campaign, for every American was.  What might be missing is for that data to be mined for intelligence.

The New York Times and Washington Post were recipients of “surveillance transcripts” of close advisors to Donald Trump.  Nobody other than Trey Gowdy seems to remember this.  Either these news reports were true or they were not, but they cannot be simultaneously both true and false.  If the news reports of the contents of surveillance transcripts are true, then it is also true that surveillance was taking place.  If Trump himself was not the direct object of surveillance, but everyone around him in his campaign was, then what difference does it make, for Trump has to work through his campaign team in order to campaign?

There are several political narratives in play here.  The first is collusion between the Trump campaign and the Russian effort to influence the election.  The Democrats continue to insinuate the Donald Trump is the Manchurian Candidate, that his apparent softness towards Putin is suggestive that Putin wanted to help Trump win, and that whether there was collusion or not Trump’s election was owing to Russian efforts to discredit Hillary Clinton.  Another narrative follows from the first, that for all the suggestiveness of collusion and the investigation of Russia’s interference in the American election, the Trump campaign itself was never surveilled by the Obama Administration for evidence of collusion.

The newspapers reported on a FISA request in June, 2016, that was rejected and may have named Trump, and another in October, 2016, that was approved.  Today, both Comey and Rogers denied there were FISA requests, and that the investigation into Russian interference began in July, 2016.  So what do we make of the newspaper accounts that go into some detail?  That seems to be forgotten.

There also has been repeated reference to “seeing no evidence of collusion” between operatives of the Trump campaign and Russian interference.  Forgetting for the moment that nobody owns Trump, what can we make of the statement “seeing no evidence.”  That statement is ambiguous, for it could mean that there is all kinds of intelligence collected on Trump and none of it shows collusion, or that they don’t have any evidence of any kind, period.  They don’t have evidence, not having collected any.  Having no evidence could mean that there was collusion all over the place, and the intelligence community cluelessly never mined their data or wiretapped anybody.  So having no evidence is not exculpatory either.

Likewise, having no evidence that Trump was wiretapped is ambiguous, and that statement also is not exculpatory.

Today, the Democrats were all about Roger Stone, and Paul Manafort, and Mike Flynn being directly or indirectly in the pay of the Russian government – however attenuated those connections may be.  But the Democrats wants us to forget that Bill Clinton received millions of dollars in speaking fees from some pretty shady governments including the Kazakh government, and that the Clinton Foundation would up receiving $145 million while Russian interests got ownership of 20 % of the United States uranium production in a transaction detailed in the book “Clinton Cash” by Peter Schweizer.

By claiming he had been wiretapped, Donald Trump set Congress to investigating the business of the leaking of classified information anonymously by outgoing Obama Administration officials that sought to portray him as in collusion with the Russian government and his benefiting from Russian interference in the election.  Trump is taking a beating from the news media about the factual content of the tweet alleging that Obama wiretapped him.  But what is also suffering in the investigation are: the credibility of the news media that reported on the contents of the now-disputed surveillance; the Democrat contention of collusion between the Trump campaign and Russia; and that Trump owes his election to Russian efforts to bring down Hillary Clinton.

The Democrats are leaving many hostages to fortune in their seeming hostility to Russia and their vilification of Vladimir Putin.

The one fact that simply can’t be erased is that former National Security Advisor Mike Flynn was surveilled by American intelligence, and his name was feloniously unmasked in the transcript of the surveillance and released to the news media by a member of the Obama Administration.  That criminal act we have yet to see the end of.
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