Monday, August 4, 2014

IRAQ CIRCLES THE DRAIN


 

 
Vincent J. Curtis


 9 July 2014

  

Last month, amid a welter of slaughter and torture, a new Islamic Caliphate was proclaimed on the territories of Syria and Iraq.  This new political creation resembles a balloon: one pinprick and it will collapse.

 

The Islamic Caliphate was created by a homicidal egomaniac who now calls himself Caliph Ibrahim.  Previously he went under the alias of Abu Bakr al Baghdadi.  He sees himself as the second coming of Mohammed, except with a better taste in wristwatches.  The new Caliphate rests on the bayonets of some six thousand men, half of whom are foreigners from Britain, France, Australia, Canada, and the United States.  The appeal of fighting for the Caliphate among these men is the feeling of fighting for Islamic righteousness, i.e. jihad; and the chance to gratify the darkest of human desires.  As proof, thousands of unarmed civilians and captured soldiers have been gruesomely executed by ISIS members, and few of these were by crucifixion.  These executions have been posted on social media for the entertainment of some and the terrorization of others.

 

ISIS, for the Islamic State of Iraq and Syria, is the name of the terrorist entity.  Failing to make further headway against the forces loyal to Syrian president Bashir al Assad, ISIS turned east in June and advanced against an utterly demoralized and unprofessionally led Iraqi military.  The Iraqi forces either deserted or retired before the advance, and allowed ISIS to occupy Mosul, the second largest city of Iraq.  ISIS occupies a portion of the Sunni majority area of Iraq.  It has made no effort to advance into Iraqi Kurdistan, which is stoutly defended by the Peshmerga, the tough Kurdish militia; or into Jordan.  The rapid ISIS advance stalled north of Baghdad, where Sunni majority Iraq begins.

 

Some rather breathless western commentators have said that ISIS is transforming itself into a real army.  All that has been seen in film clips, however, are civilian pickup trucks sporting mounted machine guns, and disordered bodies of men firing automatic weapons aimlessly into the unseen distance for the benefit of the camera crew.  ISIS may have captured some Iraqi and Syrian military equipment and fighting vehicles and put them on display for the cameras.

 

There’s many a slip twixt lip and cup.  It is one thing to be able to drive a fighting vehicle and quite another to coordinate the tactical use of groupings of fighting machines in battle.  All the ISIS has demonstrated with their fighting vehicles is the capacity to drive in convoy.  ISIS has never demonstrated the capacity to maneuver in battalion and brigade sized formations in open battle.  They have no air power.  With only six thousand real fighting men, half of whom are foreign adventurers, oppressing millions, Caliph Ibrahim makes a lot of boasts.

 

In his first public pronouncements, Caliph Ibrahim promised to make terrorist attacks against the United States and called upon all Muslims to “obey” him.  A Caliphate is a special thing in Islamic history and teaching; it is the empire of the Ummah, the believers, and the Caliph is the head of state and theocratic absolute monarch.  A Caliphate would hold that the Kingdoms of Saudi Arabia and Jordan, and the Republics of Turkey, Egypt, and Iran would be vassal states under its suzerainty and the Kings and presidents of these countries are vassals.  Perhaps some confused western diplomats, seeking clarification, might ask the governments of these countries if they planned to “obey” the new Caliph; whether their countries should now be regarded as subordinate entities to the new Caliphate, and if not, why not.

 

The new Caliphate and self-proclaimed Caliph Ibrahim represent a political crisis in Islam, first and foremost.  His threat to western countries is a separate matter.

 

By proclaiming a new Caliphate and establishing Mosul as its capital, Caliph Ibrahim has created hostages to fortune.  He is no longer the head of an ethereal terrorist organization that exists nowhere in particular and is responsible for the governance of nothing.  An act of terrorism committed against a NATO country, or any other country, would constitute an act of war by the Caliphate.  Mosul may not be as pleasant a place to govern from after it was flattened from a visit from the United States Air Force in retaliation for a Caliphate sponsored act of terrorism.

 

Enjoy the Caliphate while it lasts.  Its strength is grossly overestimated; it has no political legitimacy, and has made too many enemies in the Muslim world.

-30-
 
Published in the August, 2014 edition of Esprit de Corps magazine.

 

 

No comments:

Post a Comment