Sunday, June 15, 2025

Russian Su-35 shot down

Vincent J. Curtis

12 June 25

A Russian Su-35 Super-Flanker was shot down over Russia on June 9, 2025, and Ukrainian sources suggest it was downed by a Ukrainian flown F-16V Viper aided by a SAAB 340 Airborne Early Warning & Control (AEW&C) aircraft.  The reports are unconfirmed, but the German newspaper BILD reports that a Ukrainian F-16V fired a long-range AIM-120 guided missile at the Su-35 from a distance of 50 miles using tracking data provided by a SAAB 340 AEW&C, which had been tracking the Russian place from a distance of several hundred miles.  The Russian air-superiority fighter crashed near the Russian city of Korenvo, which lies in the Kursk Oblast. The Russian pilot parachuted safely, and survived.

The AIM-120 missile is a “fire and forget” type that ordinarily obtains its initial tracking data from its host plane, in this case the Ukrainian F-16.  Had the F-16 used its own internal radars to obtain a lock on the Russian jet, the Russian jet would have detected the presence of the F-16 and the pilot become aware of the possibility of an attack. The radars on board the SAAB 340 are much more powerful than can be fitted into an F-16 and, to the Russian jet, an AWE&C aircraft, being unarmed, posed no threat, besides being hundreds of miles away from it.

But the tracking data from the SAAB 340 provided the initial lock to the guided missile, enabling the F-16 keep its radars turned off, remaining effectively invisible to the Russian jet. If the Su-35 saw the F-16 at all, it would have seen it turn away at a great distance and the Russian pilot would not likely suspect that an attack was coming.  If the Russian pilot detected the incoming missile, it would have been too late to take evasive action.

There are other theories as to how the Su-35 was shot down, but there is no doubt that one was, and if it was by an F-16 carrying an AIM-120 aided by a Saab 340 AEW&C, it demonstrates a new development in air combat.

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Saturday, June 7, 2025

YANKEES REPULSED!

Vincent J. Curtis

5 Feb 25

STONEY CREEK – (Special to Esprit de Corps): After a desperate night attack by British forces upon the invading American army, the Yanks have withdrawn to Grimsby, and left the battlefield in British possession.

After losing Fort George on May 27, British forces (Brig-Gen Jn Vincent commanding) withdrew to a position on the Burling Heights at the head of the Lake, disbanding militia units along the way.  One brigade of Americans, (Brig-Gen Wm Winder commanding), pursued Vincent as far as Grimsby, where he halted and awaited reinforcements. Winder was joined by a second brigade, Brig-Gen Jn Chandler, commanding. This division advanced to Stoney Creek; and, on June 5th, halted at the farm of the Gage family.  The plain object of the invaders was the capture of York.

Lt-Col Jn Harvey was dispatched by Gen Vincent to reconnoiter the invaders’ camp, returning with both a plan and the password.  Harvey proposed a surprise night attack as the means of repulsing the American force, which greatly outnumbered the British and had a stronger artillery arm. Vincent agreed, and placed Harvey in command of the operation.  Thus, a British force consisting of five companies of the 1/8 (King’s) Regt of Foot, the 49th Regt of Foot, approx. 700 men were to hurl themselves against a force five times their strength. Noteworthy among the gallant 700 were 30 militiamen (Lincoln, York, Oxford & others), and 12 native allies.

The gallant 700 was guided from Burlington Heights to their attack position by Mr. Wm Green, a local lad familiar with the terrain, the location, and the lay-out of the camp. Our fortitudinous British departed at 23:30 o’clock.  They followed the old Indian trail called locally, “The King’s Street”, tromping in silence over ten miles to reach Stoney Creek, where they saw the campfires of the unsuspecting invaders.  A couple of native allies dealt with a sentry, silently, in their usual fashion involving bow, arrow, and tomahawk.  Cheers of success cost us the element of complete surprise, and the attack went in noisily.  The plan had been to bayonet the sleeping invaders in their tents; but now the alarm was raised, and, though in a state of confusion, the alerted invaders stood to arms.

The charge was initially successful; but the terrible disparity in numbers began to tell. The invaders had time to form ranks and direct their musketry in the direction of the of coming commotion; their artillery became effective, and their center held.  At this desperate moment, the brilliance of Yankee generalship commenced to turn the tide in our favor.  Attempting a maneuver at night, the invaders left his artillery exposed. The gallant 49th (Maj Chas. Plenderleath commanding) charged and captured two guns. The impulse of their charge carried the 49th into a surprised invader regiment (believed to be the 23rd U.S. Infantry Regt), and in the course of pursuing the flying 23rd, our boys encountered and captured no less a personage than the invading commander himself, Brig-Gen Chandler, Esq. Not to be outdone by his superior, Brig-Gen Winder surrendered himself to the self-same captor of Gen Chandler, Pte A. Fraser, leaving the invaders leaderless, and hapless.

Retreat in confusion began by regiments.  Both generals now being guests of the 49th, Yankee command fell to a Col Jas. Burn, who ordered a retreat, which didn’t arrest until the flying invaders reached their old camp near Grimsby.  In less than three-quarters of an hour an invading force strong enough in daylight to brush aside resistance and capture York, sure in its superiority, was knocked on the head and driven back, their commanding generals and four artillery pieces held as prises de guerre by a force a fifth of their size. At dawn, a victorious Col Harvey ordered his troops to withdraw into the woods lest invader scouts ascertain how few were the victors.  When it was clear that the invaders were at Grimsby, Harvey’s men embraced the hospitality of the camp the invaders had so graciously left to them.

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Thursday, June 5, 2025

Mark Carney's Habit of Deception

 Practicing Deception

Vincent J. Curtis

4 June 25

In the brevity of his presence on the public stage, Canadian Prime Minster Mark Carney has made numerous demonstrations of deception, which are contrary to trustworthiness, to good order, and to good government.  No, I’m not referring to the accusations of plagiarism or to his claims to the successful work of the Minister of Finance of the Harper Government, the late Jim Flaherty; no, I’m referring to actions like those below.

One of first acts as Prime Minister was to announce that he was cancelling the carbon tax, and, with a flourish, signed a document in an impressive looking red folder. The show resembled U.S. President Donald Trump signing an Executive Order: poof, it was the law of the land. The carbon tax was created by legislation, and it would take legislation to repeal it; hence, the carbon tax was not actually cancelled by his signature as Carney claimed it was; and the piece of paper in the impressive red folder that Carney signed had no force of law.  Orders-in-Council are documents that have force of law in Canada, and these are signed by the Governor-General upon the advice of the Cabinet or the responsible Minister. The OIC that the Governor-General signed in this instance merely reduced the rate of the carbon tax to zero; the law creating the carbon tax is still in force and on the books, and the tax rate can be raised at any time by another OIC: a carbon tax on commercial products like gasoline and diesel fuel is still the law of the land; the legislation hasn’t been repealed, either by Carney’s signature, the Governor-General’s signature, nor, so far, by Act of Parliament.  The show was political theatre that looked like a Trumpian exercise of power to the casual viewer.

Another series of acts of deception by Mark Carney concerned retaliatory tariffs by the Canadian government on goods imported from the United States; these tariffs were imposed in retaliation to tariffs suddenly imposed by the Trump Administration on Canadian goods. Carney’s tariffs were announced with great fanfare, and were offered as a sign of Mark Carney’s toughness and decisiveness against Trump; “elbows up” and all that.  These tariffs were supposed to collect $20 Billion, which were to be put towards the relief of those sectors of the economy affected by the Trump tariffs.  Secretly, on April 16th, within weeks of their imposition, Carney introduced a program of exemptions, crafted in a way that makes it look like the tariffs remain in force, but any importer can request, and upon request receive, an exemption from paying tariff on goods imported from the United States.  This program wasn’t published in the Canada Gazette effectively until after the election (Published April 25; election April 28), though the exemption program came into force on April 16th, i.e. before being published in the Canada Gazette.  This is why the Liberals refuse to answer the question put to them in the House of Commons, “how much tariff has been collected so far?” And “how can the government provide relief, or support, to those sectors of the economy affected by the Trump tariffs, when we’re collecting no money for it?”

Another area of deception concerns Bill C-69, the anti-pipeline legislation.  Carney has been making allusions to the construction of “nation building projects” that enjoy “consensus”, and hasn’t rejected openly the idea that oil and gas pipelines from Alberta qualify as “nation building projects”, at least not yet.  He has proposed get-arounds to deal with specific projects he approves of.  In the case of the anti-pipeline legislation, he’s hinted that a special piece of legislation would be crafted to override the sticky provisions of C-69 for that particular case.  This is not good-government legislating; it’s deceiving someone, such as the people who voted for and support C-69 as being decisive against more pipelines from Alberta.  But Carney doesn’t need to come out against pipelines from Alberta; he merely says “if there’s a consensus”, which there won’t be, because the Premier of British Columbia, David Eby, is adamantly opposed to running a pipeline through B.C. to reach tidewater from Alberta; and members of Carney’s own cabinet, such as Steven Guilbeault, are fervently opposed to more oil and gas production from Alberta.  Carney can appear to favor expansion of oil and gas production in Alberta, but be helpless to make it happen, which is his preferred option, given his long involvement in the Net Zero movement. Deceptive atmosphereics.

Another example of deception concerns the “decarbonized barrels” going through oil pipelines, as a condition of building new pipelines.  The process of extracting and upgrading Alberta bitumen was developed in the 1960s; roughly one quarter of the extracted bitumen is burnt to provide the heat and power to extract and upgrade the remaining three-quarters.  “Decarbonizing” means that either hydro or nuclear power replace the combustion of bitumen; that saved one-quarter becoming product for sale, for others to turn into, and burn, as fuel.  Alberta premier Danielle Smith has said that decarbonization has to occur after the pipelines are built; the revenue from a one million barrel a day pipeline will provide the money to pay for the construction of a nuclear reactor to replace the bitumen as the energy source to run the extraction and upgrading process. She’s also said it would be a failure if government had to build all these things, and not the private sector. Carney, the Net Zero guy, refuses to build a pipeline unless it carries “decarbonized barrels.”

Another, particularly disturbing, act of deception concerns the failure to produce a budget in the spring session of parliament, and pretending to be defeated by the summer recess routinely scheduled for late June.  Carney was the man with a plan; the banker, experienced in business; it therefore came as a shock even to Liberal supporters when the government announced that it would present no budget for fiscal 2025-26.  The public shock was so great, that a fiscal update was then floated to be presented in September.  A budget may yet be produced in September. The Carney government, and its immediate predecessor, has had the Department of Finance at its permanent disposal; it has last year’s budget as a recent example; it has last fall’s fiscal update; and it has Carney’s own seemingly omnipotent “experience” available to it, and yet something as basic as a budget is beyond its powers? This is deception; the Carney government doesn’t want the full scale of the fiscal crisis before the country, with a deficit exploded beyond $100 billion, known to the public; at least not yet.  Pierre Poilievre said he would work the parliament through the summer, if elected, to get Canada’s affairs put in order quickly, so pretending to be helpless before a rule of parliament is deceptive.

Carney still enjoys the honeymoon period of his Prime Ministership, and might win a majority if an election were forced on the country right now.  The good atmospherics he generated at the recent First Ministers’ Conference adds to his popularity, or at least to the illusion that something good is being done, and that he is competent.  His Trudeauesque performances in Question Period demonstrate that deception and contempt for its opponents remains the dominant attitude of the Liberal government: the new man isn’t being honest in the House, and nothing has changed despite the change of leader.

It will take a few months for people to see through the deception and fakery of Mark Carney as Prime Minister. His habit of employing deception as the smoother path than to face up to difficulties in a manful way, leads to a breakdown in trust, to bad government; and Canada has already had enough of that.

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